Having looked at income, we now
turn to expenditure. Here, there is tends to be more certainty, especially with
regard to fixed costs (the costs we incur whether or not we have any work). For
example, we know what rent or rates we are going to pay. We know what our
utility bills are going to be. We know how much we’re paying for our phone. All
of these tend to be regular payments that can be entered into the monthly
columns.
Of course, if we are working from
home and charging a proportion of the household costs to the business, we can
choose to do this annually rather than monthly — or even to waive the charge
altogether until the business is established. But if we do this, we have to
remember we are giving ourselves a false picture when assessing how successful
we have been.
The variable costs (those
associated with a particular piece of work) are a little more difficult but for
each income figure we enter, we should be able to estimate the related costs.
These need to be entered at the time they are incurred (or at least paid for)
which will often be before the income arrives.
To finish the statement, we need
an opening balance for the beginning of the year and a carried forward figure
at the end of each period (month). Remember that we do not start each month
afresh. If we have a deficit at the end of one month, that is the opening
balance at start of the next month.
OK, I think it is now time for a
picture, or at least a chart. Let’s have a look at an example (and remember,
the only purpose of these numbers is to illustrate the points, so we shouldn’t
get hung up on whether they make sense individually or not).
Example 1 (click on chart to enlarge)
In this example, we have the four different
income streams: six articles paid monthly between August and January; Amazon
sales which come in bimonthly from October onwards; direct sales to the public
which vary depending on events per month; and fees for running a writing course
every two months. We see that the income varies between £20 and £370 per month.
For expenditure, we have a
regular monthly contract for phone and internet; we have mileage costs and printing
costs associated with the course, the former occurring in the same month and
the latter a month earlier in each case; and we have a regular ‘drawing’ to
cover our personal expenses. Whether this is a salary that we are paid as an
employee of a limited company, or whether it is a drawing we make as a sole
trader is irrelevant here. This is the money we need to live (and again - these
are examples only, not real figures). We see that our total expenditure is
fairly fixed at between £550 and £580 per month.
We have started the year with an
opening balance (i.e. funding) of £4000. At the end of the year, our closing
balance is zero. This means that we are projecting a loss of £4000 during the
year. But remember, we are talking here about cash flow. What this tells us is
that if we start with £4000, we will have enough cash to last the year but that
we will need to sort out more funding (or raise income, or reduce expenditure)
at the beginning of the next financial year.
Let’s suppose we don’t have a
£4000 pot to start the year off. What happens if we only have £3000?
In this case, our cash flow goes
negative in December and we need to find more funding at that point but we have demonstrated that we can start
with a smaller pot and keep the business running.
If we have our cash flow set up
in a spread sheet, as I’ve shown here, it’s very easy to play the ‘what if’ game
by changing some of the figures and seeing what the effect is on the bottom
line. For example, try pushing up the income or reducing the expenditure to see
what happens. This is also useful for crystallising exactly what we need to do
to make the business a success.
As
always, note that I am not an accountant or a lawyer, just a long-term business
owner, talking about my own experience. If you are unsure about anything,
always take advice from an appropriate professional.
I agree it's much easier to predict outgoings than it is for income with regard writing.
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